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Arctic to melt in 5 years?

August 10th, 2008

In Guardian:

‘It does not really matter whether 2007 or 2008 is the worst year on record for Arctic ice,’ Maslowski said. ‘The crucial point is that ice is clearly not building up enough over winter to restore cover and that when you combine current estimates of ice thickness with the extent of the ice cap, you get a very clear indication that the Arctic is going to be ice-free in summer in five years. And when that happens, there will be consequences.’

Good!

Now, in only 5 years, we can see if global warming is hoax.

Either the North Pole’s icecap disappears in 5 years, in which case these scientists are true prophets, or it is still there, in which case these scientists are at best fearmongerers and at worst charlatans.

And I thought that I would have to wait a lifetime before seeing the global warming (… as a consequence of human activities thus far) hoax dispelled.

Note that if this “5 year” estimate is based on a true trend (rather than a linear fit on two freak accidents), it is already to late to change that figure—so, the usual leftist excuses, such as “our campaign against global warming is succeeding” is not going to work here. Either icecap does melt (in summer, I presume some come back in winter) in 5 years, or global warming is a hoax—at least in the sense it’s not as serious a problem as the false prophet Gore makes it out to be.